Nor is
there much evidence of any increase or major trend in the share of the
secondary sector in male employment - over the entire period it has
remained broadly between 32 and 34 per cent of total male employment.
The only evident shift is that of an increase in the share of the
tertiary sector, from around 55 per cent to more than 58 per cent, but
this is a shift that is essentially established by the beginning of the
1990s, and the last decade does not show any further tendency in this
direction.
For women workers, there are more evident changes in terms of sectoral
shifts. At the start of the period, in the late 1970s, all three sectors
commanded roughly equal shares of female employment at around one-third
each. Over the entire period there is a continuous pattern of decline in
the proportion of primary sector employment, although this tendency
itself decelerates over the 1990s. Secondary sector employment shares
remain approximately stable, with if anything a slight decrease over the
1990s, belying the expectation of feminisation of manufacturing
employment. The significant shift is in terms of increased employment in
the tertiary sector, whose share goes up by more than 14 percentage
points over the entire period. This trend is one that carries into the
1990s.
For male workers, while the sectoral shifts in employment may not be
very marked, there is a much sharper tendency that emerges with respect
to type of employment. In context like that of urban India, there is a
general perception that regular employment is the most desirable, not
only because of the security of contract that it offers, but also
because it is typically associated with better wages and working
conditions.
While it is true that some kinds of self-employment at the upper ends of
the value added spectrum and in certain of the newer "sunrise" service
sector areas do offer attractive work opportunities for skilled
professionals, in general most self-employed workers in the service
sector are those in low-remuneration informal sector activities with
very insecure work conditions. This being the case, the decline in
regular employment, and the relative increase in both self-employment
and casual work, that are shown in Chart 7, are generally indicative of
greater insecurity of working conditions.
Chart 7 >>
While self-employment does show a fluctuating trend, the increase in the
share of male casual employment is much more marked. This is not a new
tendency - it has been noted in India, in both rural and urban areas,
for several decades now, but the 1990s average is especially high in
this regard. Such a tendency would probably be welcomed by those who see
in this an indication of greater "flexibility" in the labour market, but
in the context of the other trends already identified, what it tells us
is that male workers are increasingly working in more fragile and
vulnerable conditions, and despite this urban employment generation
remains inadequate at best and even less dynamic than in earlier
periods.
For women workers, however, the picture is more mixed and there are some
positive signs as well. The tendencies are shown in Chart 8. Thus, while
self-employment has been coming down fairly systematically over the
entire period, there are increases in the share of both casual
employment and regular employment. While the increased significance of
casual employment has all the problematic implications that it has for
male workers, the increase in the importance of regular employment
should be welcomed. The inference could be made that most of this has
occurred in service sectors, in both public and private sector
employment, since as we have seen above, this is the sector whose share
has been growing fastest for women workers as well.
Chart 8 >> |