All the propositions of Trade Theory, such as "Free
trade is better than no trade", or "Free
Trade is better than restricted trade" etc. are
propositions which are supposed to hold independently
of what the actual post-trade income distribution
is going to be. The term "better" in other
words is given a specific meaning, namely that the
Utility Possibility curve associated with the supposedly
"better" option lies outside that associated
with the "worse" option, which in turn would
happen only if a vector-wise larger bundle of goods
becomes available through trade compared to the pre-trade
situation. In other words, the proposition that trade
would be unambiguously beneficial, i.e. would increase
"potential welfare" (Samuelson 1950), can
hold only when it enlarges, vector-wise, the bundle
of available goods compared to the pre-trade situation.
This in turn can only happen when each country produces
(in the simple two-good case) both the goods in the
pre-trade situation. In other words, "mainstream"
trade theory, no matter whether we are looking at
the Ricardian or the Heckscher-Ohlin versions of it,
necessarily assumes that each country can produce,
and does produce, in the pre-trade situation both
the commodities in positive amounts.
This however is quite obviously an erroneous
presumption. Trade between the metropolitan countries
and the tropical colonies was precisely of the sort
where the former obtained through trade commodities
from the latter which they themselves could not produce,
commodities like tea, coffee, rubber, cocoa, sugar,
fruits, cotton etc. Indeed Ricardo's famous example
of England and Portugal engaging in trade to mutual
benefit was a complete fudge, since the presumption
that both England and Portugal could produce both
the commodities, wine and cloth, was wrong. England
could certainly not produce wine, even though Portugal
could produce both wine and cloth. Likewise the tropical
colonies could produce both types of goods, the range
of primary commodities mentioned above, as well as
a whole range of manufactured goods, while the metropolis
could produce only manufactures. The motives for trade
and the implications for trade under these circumstances
involving an asymmetry between the trading partners
are vastly different from what Trade Theory suggests.
If trade allows a country to get hold of goods that
it otherwise could not have access to, then surely
the motive for engaging in trade must be very different
from what "mainstream" theory suggests.
Likewise, once we recognize that certain lands, certain
conditions can produce only certain things, and thereby
jettison the production functions approach which assumes
substitutability in the production of goods, it follows
that trade, in any period, would not only necessarily
reduce the availability of the exported good in the
metropolis, but may also reduce the availability of
the exported good in the tropical economy, which completely
destroys the conclusions of "mainstream"
Trade theory, regarding the beneficial effects of
trade for all the economies. This naive (one may even
call it ideological) view of trade as being beneficial
for all, is sustained once again by a view of the
capitalist metropolis as a self-sufficient, self-contained
entity, for which engagement in trade is not essential,
though it is beneficial.
To sum up, as the three examples cited above show,
the view of capitalism as a self-contained entity,
makes for poor theory as much as for poor development
economics: indeed each of the three examples constitutes
a case where ignoring the interactions between the
capitalist and pre-capitalist segments impoverishes
not only our theoretical understanding of capitalism
but also our understanding of the role of, and hence
the problems of, the underdeveloped world, the fact
that it constitutes a source of labour reserves for
the capitalist metropolis, the fact that it is necessary
for providing stability to the capitalist system,
and the fact that it is the source of otherwise unobtainable
raw materials for capitalism (this is by no means
an exhaustive list of its uses).
7. Under these conditions, it follows, the dichotomy
which lies at the core of the economics discipline,
between "economics" and "development
economics" must be rejected. The underdeveloped
economies are not mere laggards waiting to catch up
with the developed countries. Their present predicament
is a result not of their pristine pre-capitalist state
of being, but of their interaction (no doubt on the
basis of their pre-existing structures) with metropolitan
capitalism. The developed and the underdeveloped countries,
in other words, together constitute the totality of
capitalism (which is not the same as saying, as Frank
(1975) and others do, that the underdeveloped countries
are ipso facto capitalist). This totality
must be the domain of analysis of economic theory,
in which case there would be no separate "development
economics". We could of course still study the
specific pre-capitalist institutions existing in these
societies, but then this study would only be a part
of the analytical totality, integrated into it, rather
than constituting a separate domain. Putting it differently,
we may study a set of topics which we may still conveniently
refer to as "development economics", but
we can do this properly only when the current distinction
between "economics" and "development
economics" has got obliterated by a study of
the totality of the capitalist system. The topics
we would be studying in such a situation under the
rubric "development economics" would then
constitute mediations in the analysis of this totality.
Let me give an example. We cannot of course study
the Indian economy without studying the prevailing
agrarian relations, and in that sense a study of agrarian
relations remains an integral part of "development
economics". But the precise agrarian relations
prevailing have been shaped by the economy's integration
into the capitalist system, though these relations
differ from country to country, are not reducible
merely to some predetermined outcome of this integration,
and must in turn throw up contradictions for this
process of integration. We may, for the sake of convenience,
look at these country differences, these historical
specificities, and these contradictions under a separate
rubric called "development economics" but
this is still, theoretically, an integral part of
the totality of "economics", not a separate
domain. What I am suggesting in other words is an
epistemological integration of the two domains which
are currently dichotomized, though functional demarcations
may still continue for the sake of convenience.
8. Indeed not resorting to such an epistemological
integration would give rise to a highly flawed understanding
of important issues. Consider for example the issue
of rural poverty. The Bretton Woods institutions would
have us believe that the rural poverty ratio has gone
down in India in the nineties; and to the extent that
it has not, they would attribute the failure to what
they call "bad governance". This explanation
is in line with the dichotomy we have been discussing,
which postulates that the problems of the underdeveloped
countries are specific to their own conditions and
are in no way caused by integration with metropolitan
capitalism.
But even without going into the question of what has
happened to the rural poverty ratio in the nineties
(which by now has become an ideologically-charged
issue), we can safely say that "rural distress"
has increased at least in the sense that per capita
foodgrain availability in the nineties has declined
drastically. Indeed, per capita foodgrain availability
which had gone down from around 200 kg. per annum
at the beginning of the twentieth century to around
150 kg. by the time of independence, had recovered
to around 180 kg. by the end of the eighties (177
kg. in the triennium centred on 1990-91). By 2000-01
however it had gone down to around 150 kg. (After
a slight recovery in 2001-02 it again came down in
2002-03 to 150 kg. and even this figure was attained
because of a host of drought relief operations)[5].
The reason for this decline lies not in the decline
in per capita foodgrain output during the decade,
though that too has happened, but in an even more
drastic decline in the purchasing power in the hands
of the rural poor. This is confirmed by the burgeoning
foodgrain stocks with the government, which, prior
to the drought of 2002-03 (that has led to some decumulation
of inventories) and the massive food exports (at subsidized
prices), had amounted to over 60 million tonnes. Even
today the level of stocks with the government is around
30 million tonnes which is at least 10 million tonnes
more than the total buffer and operational stocks
which are considered necessary[6].
The reason for this drastic squeeze in rural purchasing
power inter alia lies in the sharp fall
in the rural development expenditure undertaken by
the government, as a proportion of GDP. And the latter
in turn is part of the deflationary policy which is
forced upon governments all over the world by the
emergence of a new form of globally-mobile international
finance capital. (The only government that enjoys
a degree of immunity from this pressure to deflate
the economy is the U.S. whose currency, because it
is considered "as good as gold" by wealth-holders
in the entire capitalist world, enjoys a special status).
In short, India's progressive (though by no means,
as yet, total) integration into the vortex of globalized
finance has exposed the government to pressures to
deflate the economy. (Deflation is the favourite recipe
of international finance capital and it is no accident
that even in the midst of massive unused foodstocks,
unutilized industrial capacity, and burgeoning foreign
exchange reserves, all of which characterize the Indian
economy today, the most commonly-heard refrain at
present is for a curtailment of the fiscal deficit,
which would only succeed in exacerbating the demand
constraint).
The increase in rural distress of course is more general
than the decline in per capita foodgrain availability
(the growing incidence of farmers' suicides for instance,
though another fall-out of the process of "globalization",
has little to do with foodgrain availability). But
this decline is one important factor contributing
to the growth in rural distress in recent years; and
it is the direct outcome of the economy's integration
into the sphere of globalized finance. This integration
in turn has been forced upon it by the emergence of
a new and powerful actor in contemporary capitalism,
international finance capital in a new form, whose
interests are assiduously promoted by the Bretton
Woods institutions[7].
Thus, an issue, viz. rural distress, that is pervasively
considered "internal" to the country, turns
out on closer examination, to be an outcome of developments
in world capitalism. Unless we are sensitive to these
developments, and alter our understanding and teaching
of "development economics" to overcome the
dichotomy between "economics" and "development
economics", we would be unable to make any intervention
for the betterment of our people, which after all
is the objective behind the study of economics.
REFERENCES
- Frank A.G. (1975) Capitalism
and Underdevelopment in Latin America , Penguin.
Goodwin R.M. (1967) "The Growth Cycle"
in C.H.Feinstein ed. Socialism, Capitalism,and
Economic Growth , Essays Presented to Maurice
Dobb, Cambridge.
- Kaldor N. (1978) Further Essays
on Economic Theory , Duckworth, London .
- Lewis W.A. (1978) The Evolution
of the International Economic Order , Princeton.
- Marx K. (1977) Capital ,
Volume I, Vintage Books (Paperback), New York .Patnaik
P. (1977) Accumulation and Stability Under Capitalism
, Clarendon Press, Oxford .
- Patnaik P. (2003) The Retreat
to Unfreedom , Tulika Books, Delhi .
- Patnaik U. (2003) "On the
Inverse Relation Between Primary Exports and Food
Absorption in Developing Countries Under Liberalized
Trade Regimes" in Jayati Ghosh and C.P.Chandrasekhar
ed. Work and Well-being in the Age of Finance
, Tulika, Delhi.
- Patnaik U. (2003a) "Foodstocks
and Hunger", Social Scientist , July-August.
- Samuelson P.A. (1950) "The
Evaluation of Real National Income", Oxford
Economic Papers, January.
- Solow R.M. (1956) "A Contribution
to the Theory of Economic Growth", Quarterly
Journal of Economics.
[5]These figures
are taken from U.Patnaik (2003a).
[6]It is sometimes argued that the
reason for the decline in per capita foodgrain
consumption is a change in tastes that is
occurring all over India with the increase in per
capita income. This claim however is without any merit
for two reasons: first, evidence from all over the
world shows that as incomes increase, while the direct
consumption of foodgrains does not increase (and may
even decline) the direct-plus-indirect consumption
(the latter via animal feed and processed foods) increases
as a result of dietary diversification, and there
is no reason why India should be an exception to this
general rule. Secondly, the decline in per capita
foodgrain availability (and hence by implication in
per capita foodgrain consumption) has also been accompanied
by a decline in per capita calorie intake in rural
India during this same period which is as high as
13 percent, and which only confirms the hypothesis
of growing rural distress. See U.Patnaik (2003a).
[7]Different
aspects of this new form of international finance
capital, as well as the implications of its emergence,
are discussed in a number of essays of mine collected
together in Patnaik (2003).
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