Finally, directed credit has positive
fiscal consequences. In contrast to subsidies, such credit reduces the
demand placed on the government's own revenues. This makes directed credit
an advantageous option in developing countries faced with chronic
budgetary difficulties that limit their ability to use budgetary subsidies
to achieve a certain allocation of investible resources.
It must be said that
development banks have played an important role in the Indian context. In
his deposition before the Parliamentary Standing Committee on Finance
(1999-2000) on 18 September 2000, the Managing Director of ICICI stated:
"disbursement by FIs constituted around fifty per cent of gross fixed
capital formation by the private corporate sector in the pre-liberalised
era. If you see the financial institutions' disbursement versus bank
credit to industry right from 1951 to the last year, we see that financial
institutions have provided significantly more credit for the creation of
capital in industry in India. It has grown year after year … Thus, the FIs
have played a pivotal role in the development of Indian industry and have
fulfilled their initial objective i.e. to spur industrialisation in the
country over the last three to four decades."
The corporatisation, transformation into universal banks and subsequent
privatisation of the DFIs is bound to undermine this role of theirs. The
justification for the conversion to universal banking as provided by the
Industrial Investment Bank of India (IIBI) in a written reply to the
Parliamentary Standing Committee indicates this: "Since
compartmentalisation of activities leads to greater transactions cost and
inefficiency, no financial intermediary can survive competition if it does
not allow itself flexibility to change. In the new financial environment, IIBI is of the opinion that a financial player may be either placed
naturally for resources like a commercial bank, or may be a pure financial
service provider and retailer like the NBFCs. Still another option is to
build a financial supermarket where all the services are available under a
single umbrella. The advantages are that they would be free to choose the
product mix of their operations and configure activities for optimum
allocation of their resources."
The CEO of ICICI made clear what this means in terms of emphasis: "When we
were set up, our role was to meet long term resource requirements of the
industry. With liberalisation, the role has slightly changed. It became
developing India's debt market, financing India's infrastructure
development, etc. With globalisation, I think, the role is set to change
further. Now we have to stress on profitability, shareholder value,
corporate governance, while at the same time not losing sight of our goals
– the goals that were originally set for us – and the goals that were set
up in the interim with liberalisation." Unfortunately, the emphasis on
those goals would remain only with regulation. But regulation is diluted
by liberalisation.
There is
another way in which the gradual dissolution of the core of India's
development banking infrastructure is related to the process of
liberalisation. This is through the effects of liberalisation on the
profitability of an institution like the IFCI, for example. According to
the
D. Basu Expert Committee, which was appointed by IFCI's governing board
immediately following its corporatisation and initial public offering in
1993, to examine the causes of the large NPAs accumulated by the
institution and suggest a restructuring, IFCI embarked upon a programme of
rapid expansion of business. To scale up the volume of business, it
increasingly raised resources from the debt markets. This was at a time
when interest rates were relatively high. In order to cover the high cost
borrowings, the institution was forced to make investments in what were
considered high yielding loan assets.
Unfortunately, this occurred
at a time when financial liberalisation had put an end to the traditional
consortium mode of lending, in which all major financial institutions
collaborated in lending to a single borrower as per a mutually agreed
pattern of sharing. Liberalisation was introducing an element of
competition among financial institutions. In the event, in search of high
returns IFCI chose to take relatively large exposures in several
greenfield projects (notably in the steel and oil sectors).
For a number of reasons, these projects did not deliver on their promise.
Many of these projects had expected to raise substantial equity from the
capital market as well as from the internal resources of group companies.
Depressed conditions in the capital market put paid to the first.
Recessionary conditions limited the second. Many of these groups were in
the traditional commodity sectors such as iron and steel, textiles,
synthetic fibres, cement, sugar, basic chemicals, synthetic resins,
plastics, etc. Besides the general recessionary environment, some of these
sectors were particularly affected by the abolition of import controls and
the gradual reduction of tariffs. Internal resource generation, therefore,
fell short of expectations. As a result, with inadequate own-financing in
the pipeline, many of these projects suffered from cost- and
time-overruns.
Unlike other financial institutions, IFCI had not diversified into other
types of businesses. Project finance still accounted for 94 per cent of
IFCI's business assets. As a result, the impact of NPAs arising from the
factors cited above was greater in the case of IFCI than in the case of
other institutions. In addition, there was sharp rise in IFCI's gross NPA
level in 1998-99 (Rs. 5,783.56 crore as against Rs. 4,159.84 crore in the
previous year), as a result of the implementation of the mandatory RBI
guidelines for classifying non-performing assets. As a result, certain
loans, particularly those relating to projects under implementation, which
had been treated as performing assets in earlier years, had to be
classified as non-performing.
The Basu Committee had noted that some of the factors referred to above
such as impact of trade policy liberalisation and tariff reduction,
recessionary conditions in the late 1990s, depressed conditions in the
capital market, etc., affected other DFIs and banks as well. However, the
impact was particularly pronounced in the case of IFCI, as the
concentration of risk relative to net worth was much higher. Also, as
already stated, other DFIs had started diversifying into non-project
related lending business. It was difficult to survive as a development
finance institution in the new environment.
Thus, the decline of development finance is clearly related to the process
of economic liberalisation. However, as a number of industry associations
have noted in recent times, it hardly is true that in a time of growing
competition for Indian firms from international business and a growing
liberalisation-induced shift in the investment and lending practices of
banks and NBFCs away from manufacturing, state support for domestic
private investment is not insignificant.
The view that development finance does not matter is countered by the fact
that thus far, right through the years of liberalisation, the state has
been forced to maintain a high ratio of disbursement of financial
institutions to Gross Domestic Capital Formation in the private corporate
sector (Chart 1). That ratio has risen sharply in recent times. However,
the argument that development finance is irrelevant is backed up by
evidence that in the case of many new projects, the share of equity
finance in total resources is quite high (Chart 2). The stock market is
replacing the DFIs, it is claimed. But such evidence is based on
information collected by the Department of Company Affairs from firms that
have issued prospectuses. That is, they are firms that have the ability to
and have chosen to tap capital markets and have hence issued prospectuses.
But, it is not clear whether these firms actually managed to raise the
requisite capital from equity markets. And though the number of such
projects is growing, it still remains small (Chart 3). Further, the number
of such projects is quite volatile. Thus, relying on these figures to
justify undermining a framework that has served Indian industry well is
completely unwarranted. But, the reasons why these arguments are purveyed
is that they serve as the basis for justifying the government's decision
to adopt large-scale financial liberalisation in its bid to attract and
appease international financial capital. In that framework of policy,
support for building a domestic manufacturing base obviously does not make
sense.
Chart 1 >>
Chart 2 >>
Chart 3 >>