This system was permissive on some fronts and restrictive on others. It
required firms to approach banks that were flush with funds drawn from
household savings for finance. In turn, banks were in a position to use
the resulting leverage to ensure that their funds were profitably employed
and properly managed. Inasmuch as the government 'permitted' the banks to
play this role, Japan saw the emergence of a main bank system where "a
bank not only provides loans to a firm, but also holds its stock.
Typically, a firm develops a relationship with a particular bank and
relies on its steady support in funding over the long term. In return, the
firm uses the bank for major transactions from which the banks earns fees
and profits." Thus, unlike in the US, where the performance of individual
stocks and the threat of takeover when stock prices fell or "the market
for corporate control" were the means to ensure effective deployment and
efficient utilization of capital, in Japan it was the link between direct
and indirect ownership and management that formed the means to realizing
these goals. And the state was expected to monitor the monitors, who were
the main banks.
The
restrictive role of the system was that it limited the ability of banks to
undertake investments in areas that were not in keeping with development
goals. Thus investment in stocks or real estate purely with the intention
of making capital gains was foreclosed by regulation. Banks, insurance
firms and non-bank financial institutions had their areas of operations
defined for them. Regulatory walls which prevented conflicts of interests
and speculative forays that could result in financial crises and hamper
the growth of the real economy clearly demarcated these areas.
During the years of high growth this system served the Japanese economy
well. It allowed banks and firms to take a long-term perspective in
determining their borrowing and lending strategies; it offered
entrepreneurs the advantage of deep pockets to compete with much larger
and more established firms in world markets; and it allowed the government
to 'intervene' in firm-level decision-making without having to establish a
plethora of generalized controls, which are more difficult to both design
and implement. Above all, when the rate of expansion of world markets
slowed after the first oil shock of 1993, and when Japan, which was highly
dependent on exports for its growth, was affected adversely both by this
and by the loss of competitiveness entailed by an appreciating currency,
the system allowed firms to restructure their operations and enter new
areas so that profits in emerging areas could neutralize losses in sunset
industries.
Not
surprisingly, Japan's economic system was bank debt-dependent for
financing investment and highly overgeared. Bank debt accounted for 95 per
cent of Japanese corporate borrowing in the mid-1970s, as compared with a
much lower 67 per cent in the US. And while outstanding bank loans
amounted to 50 per cent of GDP in the US in the 1970s, from which level it
gradually declined, the debt:GDP ratio in Japan had touched 143 per cent
in 1980 and risen to 206 per cent by 1995. This wasnot a problem, however,
because the government worked to stabilize the system. As one observer put
it: "A combination of international capital controls, willingness to use
monetary policy swiftly to defend the currency, and the absence of other
countries simultaneously following the same development strategy shielded
Japan from serious problems."
In the event, Japan's economic success between 1950 and 1970 resulted in
its system of regulation, which was 'unusual' from an Anglo-Saxon point of
view, and was looked upon with awe and respect. Even now, but for the fact
that Japan is faring so poorly, the overwhelming evidence of accounting
fraud, conflicts of interests and strategies to ensure stock price
inflation emanating from leading US firms such as Enron, Andersen, Merrill
Lynch, WorldComm and Xerox, makes the Japanese system appear far more
robust.
The
question remains, however: why did the system fail to serve Japan as well
during the 1990s? The answer lies in the fact that the system was changed
and considerably diluted as a result of American pressure during the
1980s. The pressure was applied in three stages. First, international
banks and financial institutions wanted Japan
to open up its financial sector and provide them space in its financial
system. Second, once these external agents were permitted to enter the
system, they wanted a dilution of the special relationship that existed
between the government, the financial system and the corporate world in
Japan, since that implied the existence of an internal barrier to their
entry and expansion. Third, these agents, along with some Japanese
financial institutions adversely affected by the deceleration of growth in
the system, wanted greater flexibility in operations and the freedom to
'innovate' both in terms of choice of investments and instruments of
transaction.