This can no longer be seen
as a temporary tendency deriving from fierce stabilisation policies
designed to control inflation. Rather, these high levels of unemployment
are closely related to the very pattern of more open trade and industrial
restructuring that are commonly cited as the positive results of the
neoliberal policies.
This comes out very sharply
in another study from ECLAC. (Jorge Katz, "Structural Changes
in Latin American Industrial Productivity, 1970-1996", CEPAL
Review 2000) This shows that structural changes in Latin America's
economies over the past twenty years have shifted manufacturing away
from shoe, textiles, machine tools, and other labour and engineering
intensive industries in favour of natural resource processing and
assembly maquiladora'
industries.
Thus, there are two types
of production restructuring that have taken place. In Chile, Argentina
and, to a somewhat lesser extent, Brazil, structural reforms of the
past twenty years have favoured industries producing highly standardised
industrial commodities, such as vegetable oil, fishmeal, pulp and
paper, iron and steel, and aluminium. As a result, Latin American
firms have ended up as price takers in highly competitive world markets
in which they have very low unit profit margins.
Meanwhile, in order to
maintain quality and other competitiveness requirement, the manufacturing
plants for these products are highly capital intensive, automated,
and technologically advanced, creating little employment. In general,
most of their capital equipment comes from abroad) except to some
extent in Brazil) thus reinforcing the old pattern of technological
dependence.
The other type of production
restructuring has occurred in Mexico and some small Central American
countries. Here, the neoliberal reforms combined together with low
domestic wages and geographical proximity to the United States in
the context of a rapidly expanding US market, have encouraged assembly
plants known as "maquiladoras". These use modern technology
to produce state-of-the-art goods including computers, video and TV
sets, and garments. However, they use product design and just-in-time
technology, logistics and engineering almost entirely from the US,
Japanese or Korean companies, which own these assembly plants. There
is very little value added in the Latin American side of the operations.
Meanwhile, the associated
trade liberalisation and elimination of subsidies has meant that manufacturing
and competitive skills in leather goods, furniture, clothing and machine
tool manufacturing for the domestic market have contracted strongly,
with many small and medium-size firms being forced to close because
of import penetration. The degree of domestic vertical integration
has declined sharply, while outsourcing practices, mostly international,
have increased. Inevitably, the region's dependence on external
capital goods and technology has increased in consequence.
This worrying trend has
been reinforced by the privatisation of State-owned production facilities,
particularly in telecommunications, energy, transport or water sanitation.
Ownership of these sectors has effectively been transferred to large
mostly foreign enterprises whose R&D facilities and capital goods
suppliers are overseas. Not only has this been associated in some
scandalous cases (as in Brazil) with higher costs for consumers and
hugely increased foreign exchange outflow, it has also meant the loss
of related domestic manufacturing and service production and employment
which earlier benefited from linkage effects.
As a result, Katz concludes
that "in countries where public enterprises carried out most
local R&D and engineering efforts, recent structural reforms have
had a strong and rather negative impact on the national systems of
innovation. At the same time, the new production structure is finding
it increasingly difficult to generate new jobs, let alone well-paid
ones in high productivity sectors. Those created are precarious and
mostly in the area of low-productivity services. Moreover, and as
a result of the rapid increase in the demand for foreign machinery
and equipment as well as vehicles and parts, the trade balances of
many countries show a worrying, chronic tendency toward long-term
disequilibrium."
All this sounds strangely
familiar - this peculiar combination of worsening real conditions
amidst greatly increased hype and international celebration of another
success story for international capital. But what is also depressingly
familiar is the sense that even such examples need not nudge our own
policy makers into a more realistic and domestic citizen-oriented
approach to economic policy.