As the dust settles around the post-Budget stock market
collapse, attention is being increasingly directed at the role played
by the banking system in the events that led up to the mini-crisis.
The explicit role of a few cooperative banks and some smaller private
sector banks is now well documented. There were some, like the Madhavpura
Mercantile Cooperative Bank and Global Trust Bank, that where willing
to accommodate brokers with funds to invest in shares to an extent where
their exposure to particular brokers and to the stock market was far
beyond what would be considered prudent. There were others, like the
Bank of India, that were willing to discount instruments, however safe,
representing more than unusually large sums of money, issued by organizations
whose ability to back such instruments were obviously doubtful. Yet
others have been characterized by a degree of exposure to investments
in the affected banks, which could imply large losses that could affect
their viability.
These acts of omission and commission (concentrated
no doubt in a few cooperative banks in a few centers) which helped finance
a speculative run that collapsed in the wake of a bear attack, has not
merely triggered investigations of varying intensity against individual
officials in the system, but threatened the existence of at least one
bank, forced losses on others and left a large number of small savers
with no access to their own money.
These developments have raised questions about the
adequacy and efficacy of the regulatory framework designed and implemented
by the Reserve Bank of India. The RBI has been quick to respond. Unfortunately,
however, that response combines an effort to trivialise the fall-out
of the crisis for banking system, to declare that the acts of omission
and commission referred to earlier were more the exception than the
rule and that minor tinkering with the regulatory mechanism would be
adequate to deal with the problem.
This emerges from the following paragraph in the RBIs
Monetary and Credit Policy Statement for the year 2001-2002, portions
of which have been highlighted to focus on the thrust of the central
banks reading of the problem. "The recent experience in equity
markets, and its aftermath, have thrown up new challenges for the regulatory
system as well as for the conduct of monetary policy. It has become
evident that certain banks in the cooperative sector did
not adhere to their prudential norms nor to the well-defined regulatory
guidelines for asset-liability management nor even to the requirement
of meeting their inter-bank payment obligations. Even though such
behaviour was confined to a few relatively small banks, by national
standards, in two or three locations, it caused losses to some
correspondent banks in addition to severe problems for depositors. In
the interest of financial stability, it is important to take measures
to strengthen the regulatory framework for the cooperative sector by
removing "dual" controlby laying down clear-cut guidelines
for their management structure and by enforcing further prudential standards
in repect of access to uncollateralised funds and their lending against
volatile assets."
Clearly, the RBI sees the problem as being largely restricted to the
cooperative banking sector, where it arises not because the regulatory
mechanism is not well defined, but because the structure of management
and control has worked against the implementation of those guidelines.
To cover itself against the criticism that it ignores the fact that the
problem goes deeper and is systemic, the RBI has hastened to add that:
"In the light of recent experience, some corrective steps to prevent
commercial banks from taking undue risks in their portfolio management
are also outlined."
A close look at the evidence suggests, however, that
the RBIs response is indeed inadequate. The exposure of banks
to the stock market occurs in three forms. First, it takes the form
of direct investment in shares, in which case, the impact of stock price
fluctuations directly impinge on the value of the banks assets.
Second, it takes the form of advances against shares, to both individuals
and stock brokers. Any fall in stock market indices reduces, in the
first instance, the value of the collateral. It could also undermine
the ability of the borrower to clear his dues. To cover the risk involved
in such activity banks stipulate a margin, between the value of the
collaeral and the amounts advanced, set largely according tto their
discretion.
Third, it takes the form of "non-fund based"
facilities, particularly guarantees to brokers, which renders the bank
liable in case the broking entity does not fulfill its obligation.
As at present, RBI guidelines regarding bank exposure
to the stock market apply only to direct investment in shares. Even
these have been substantially relaxed in recent times. According to
guidelines issued in October 1996, when banks were being encouraged
to investment in stocks as part of the process of financial liberalization,
banks were permitted to invest up to 5 per cent of their incremental
deposits in stock markets. Initially, investments in debentures/bonds
and preference shares were included within this five per cent ceiling.
However, as stock market performance was increasingly accepted as an
indicator of the success of reform, and the government was under pressure
in 1997 to revive flagging markets, it sought to encourage banks to
invest more in the markets by taking debentures/bonds and preference
shares out of the calculation of the limit in April 1997. This made
the ceiling only relevant for investment in equities. Driven by these
signals a group of 21 public sector banks increased their investments
in equities from Rs. 1,488 crore in 1997 to Rs. 2,293 crore in 1998.
In September last year these guidelines were relaxed
even further based on the recommendations of a committee comprising
of senior executives of the RBI and the Securities and Exchange Board
of India (SEBI). The committee held that instead of setting a ceiling
on bank investments in equity relative to incremental deposits, banks'
exposure to the capital market by way of investments in shares, convertible
debentures and units of mutual funds should be linked with their total
outstanding advances and may be limited to 5 per cent of such advances.
This was subsequently accepted by the RBI and is the guideline that
prevails now.