Under
the Constitution, State governments have always had very significant
responsibilities (for law and order, infrastructure development, health,
education, agriculture – to name just a few). However, at the same time
they have not had commensurate powers either to raise resources or to
influence broader trends that create the context or enabling conditions
for fulfilling these responsibilities. This is why the fundamental fiscal
difference between Centre and States – that state governments necessarily
face a hard budget constraint unlike the central government – is so
important. This obviously puts direct limits upon the capacity of state
governments to fulfil even their constitutional responsibilities towards
their citizens.
Increasingly,
the powers to raise resources are constrained by the distribution of
revenue-generating powers in the context of the changing composition
of national income. Since the state governments cannot impose service
taxes, and therefore must exclude the fastest growing segment of the
economy from their resource raising efforts, they are at a significant
disadvantage compared to the central government in this regard. So the
pattern of fiscal devolution from Centre to States is of the utmost
significance for most developmental issues as well as basic socio-economic
rights of the citizens in the country as a whole.The basic means of
financial transfer is through the successive Finance Commissions, which
are supposed to ensure a fair and equitable devolution of fiscal resources
from the Centre to States. However, the terms of reference of recent
Finance Commissions have gone beyond the simple allocation of tax revenues
between Centre and different States according to a given formula, to
allowing and even proposing conditional transfers, even if this goes
against the basic principle of federal devolution. Thus, the Eleventh
Finance Commission proposed a system of debt relief to states which
required them to first pass fiscal responsibility legislation according
to parameters laid down by the Centre.For all the talk of decentralisation,
this actually amounts to a greater centralisation of government finances.
Direct central allocations to states are increasingly covered by conditionalities,
even if they are egregious or unsuitable to the state in question. A
case in point is the transfer of funds under the Jawaharlal Nehru National
Urban Renewal Mission (JNNURM), which requires problematic measures
such as the elimination of stamp duty by recipient state governments.
Or they are so rigid as to make it difficult to adjust the funding to
local requirements, as in the case of the Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan (SSA)
where exactly the same norms for expenditure are laid down for all states
regardless of differing contexts.Another attempt to undermine federalism
and the authority of elected state governments comes in the arguments
for fiscal provisions by the Centre directly to panchayats at district
level. With norms for expenditure determined by the Centre, as well
as "capacity building" of panchayat members by the Centre,
this amounts to an extremely centralised notion of decentralisation,
where the real decisions are made at the very top of national government
rather than being delegated to states and then to panchayats.In this
context, what is the current situation with respect to the fiscal health
of states and financial devolution? Chart 1 describes the pattern of
deficit among all state governments taken together. It is evident that
the severe fiscal crisis of the states that was so marked in the early
years of this decade is no longer as pervasive. Since 2004 all the major
deficit indicators have been declining, and the revenue and primary
deficits are now close to zero for the states as a whole. Even the fiscal
deficit total is under 3 per cent of GDP.
It is generally supposed that this improved fiscal health is the reuslt
of the Eleventh Finance Commisison’s award, which is perceived ot have
substantially increased grants to states and also allowed some debt
write-off to those states that agreed to pass the controversial fiscal
responsbility legislation. However, Chart 2 indicates that such a conclusion
is not justified. In fact, the significant increase has been in tax
receipts of the state governments themselves, which in 2006-07 accounted
for more than 55 per cent of their total fiscal resources.
The share in central taxes has remained small and shown hardly any increase
as a proportion of total receipts. Even all non-tax receipts (which
include grants from the Centre as the biggest chunk) have not increased
veyr much and remain at less than a quarter of total receipts. It is
worth noting that the share of capital receipts has declined very sharply
in recent years.
The relatively low and even declining share of central taxes is confimred
by the evidence on the states’ share of central taxes as a proportion
of the totla central tax collection. Chart 3 shows that this has been
declining since the most recent peak of 2001-02, and that the average
of the last three years (2004-05 to 2006-07) is well below the average
of the three-year period of a decade earlier. All the state government
taken together currently receive just around one quarter of central
tax revenues, even though they are directly responsible for most of
the public service delivery that directly affects the lives of people.
What of the total financial devolution, that is including grants and
all other mechanisms? In current nominal terms that has certainly been
rising, as indicated by Chart 4 which show the nominal rate of growth
on the right hand scale. However, as share of GDP of states they have
been mostly stganant in the recent period, and indicate some evidence
of medium-term decline compared to the early 1990s.
It was noted earlier that capital receipts had been declining as a percentage
of total state governments’ receipts, and stood at only 21 per cent
in 2006-07. Within this, however, the share of market borrowings increased,
as evident from Chart 5 which exmaines the nature of financing the fiscal
deficit for all states. In the last three years described here there
has also been a sharp increase in use of small svaings (the NSSF or
Natioanl Small Savings Fund) which reflects the shift in personal savings
away from bank deposits to small savings because of interest rate differentials.
This of course means that state governments have had to pay relatively
higher rates of interest on borrowing even in the period of lower interest
rates on average, but at least they automatically receive most of these
funds. Evidence from 2007-08 suggests that this was not forthcoming
last year. Meanwhile, loans from the central government have declined
to the point of irrelevance.
It is sometimes believed that grant funds, which are non-interest bearing
and supposedly untied, allow a greater degree of comfort and flexibility
to states, and indeed the Eleventh Finance Commission put more emphasis
on grants for thosereaosns, as well as because of the perceived decline
in aggregate tax-GDP ratios. However, a substantial proportion of the
grants provided to the States come in the form of Central Schemes and
Centrally Sponsored Schemes.
Chart 6 shows that not only are these significant,
but they have also been increasing as a proportion of total grants in
the recent period. Strictly speaking, transfers for Central Schemes
should not be included in such grants at all or counted as part of devolved
resources, since they reflect central government expenditure that is
simply administered by states. Centrally Sponsored Scehemes are also
problematic since they typically require matching expenditure by states
(of varying proportions acording to Scheme) and are in any case completely
determined by the Centre, in terms of content, structure, format and
process.
So they cannot really be described as devolved funds at all. This is
especially the case given the significant increase in different forms
of conditionality that now accompany most if not all Centrally Sponsored
Schemes. However, it is apparent from Chart 6 that more than one-fourth
of all grants to States come in these centralised forms.
All this suggests that fiscal federalism still remains somewhat of an
empty promise in India, despite all the protestations to the contrary.
If this is indeed the case, and the central government continues to
control the bulk of public finances in India, then surely it should
also take more responsibility for the eocnomic and social outcomes that
are determined by poublic spending.
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