At the end
of October the government announced the terms of
reference of the Twelfth Finance Commission (TFC), which
is to be headed by the Andhra Pradesh Governor and
former governor of the Reserve Bank of India, Dr. C.
Rangarajan. The Commission is supposed to submit its
final report by July 2004 so that the government could
incorporate the recommendations in the Budget for
2005-06. While Dr Rangarajan is the chairman, the
members include Planning Commission member Som Pal,
former cabinet secretary T R Prasad and D K Srivastava
of National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
As has been the case with most economic announcements in
recent times, the terms of reference of the newly
constituted TFC have not invited much comment, even
though they reflect a further widening of the
conventional mandate of a Finance Commission and presage
a process in which state governments are forced to go
along with the neo-liberal reform agenda of the central
government. Speaking to the press soon after the Union
Cabinet cleared the terms of reference, Finance
Secretary S. Narayan reportedly said that: "As compared
to the terms of reference of the 11th Finance
Commission, the terms of the 12th Commission lays
emphasis on certain efficiency factors such as
adjustment of user charges, relinquishing non-priority
enterprises through privatisation or disinvestment and
resource mobilisation to improve the tax-GDP ratio."
This can only be taken to mean that a state's access to
resources would be linked to its willingness to raise
user charges for the public services it provides,
disinvest the enterprises it owns and impose new taxes
to raise revenues and cover more of its expenditures.
Conventionally, the Finance Commission is concerned with
the criteria that should govern distribution of taxes
between the Centre and the states and among the states
themselves. The evolving mandate of Commissions
constituted in the past has essentially sought to
address two issues. First, it recognised the fact that
in a federal system, the ability of government at
different levels to raise revenues through taxation is
unlikely to match the responsibilities shouldered and
therefore the expenditures undertaken at those levels.
Hence the Finance Commissions were mandated with
determning the vertical sharing of Union taxes between
the Centre and the states. Second, in order to reduce
the large inter-state disparities, which would widen if
a state's access to resources was determined purely by
its GDP, it provided for the construction of a formula
that would prevent poorer states from being trapped in
their underdevelopment by providing a weight for
backwardness in the determination of revenue shares.
Despite these safeguards, neither have the states been
able to obtain adequate resources to finance their
expenditures, nor has inter-state disparity been reduced
substantially. While inadequate resources mobilisation
and unnecessary expenditures at the state level have
contributed to the financial difficulties confronted by
the state, central policies have played a major role in
generating a fiscal crisis at the state level. For
example, it has been observed that the centre has over
time sought to increase the share of non-sharable
revenue sources (such as surcharges) in its total
revenues, adversely affecting the states. Further,
neo-liberal reform has affected the states in two ways.
Stabilisation policies adopted in the early 1990s had
raised domestic interest rates substantially. The larger
outgo on account of interest payments meant that the
states had to increase the volume of debt incurred by
them. This has reached a situattion where today the
restructuring of state-level debt, by replacing
high-cost with low-cost debt, is seen as an important
means to resolve the fiscal crisis at the state level.
In addtion, direct and indirect tax concessions provided
by the Centre as part of neo-liberal reform, in order to
spur private initiative, have led to a signficant
decline in the central tax-GDP ration, which affects the
states adversely as well. Not surprisingly, states that
were recording revenue surpluses till the late 1980s,
witness their transformation into deficits and
experienced a sharp increase in those through the 1990s.
More recently, the erosion of resources available to the
states has led up to a crisis because of the
implementation of the Fifth Pay Commission's
recommendations. The impact of those recommendations,
which states were forced to adopt once they were
implemented at the central level, was that the ratio of
salaries and wages to the revenue receipts of the
states, which had been going down till 1996-97, rose
dramatically and almost doubled after 1997-98. In the
event, the gross fiscal deficit of states which was
below 3 per cent of GDP during much of the 1990s shot up
to 5 per cent by 1999-2000. With this growing role of
debt in financing expenditures the outstanding debt of
all state governments, more than doubled from Rs 243,000
crore in March 1997 to about Rs 500,000 crore in March
2001. This massive increase in debt had as its corollary
a more than six-fold increase in the interest liability
of all states over the 1990s, from less than Rs 9,000
crore to more than Rs 54,000 crore.
Overall the states' debt to GDP ratio, which was over 19
per cent in the early 1990s, but came down to under 18
per cent by 1996-97, rose to about 23 per cent in the
four years ending with 2000-01. We must also note that
the revenue deficit, or the excess of current
expenditures over revenues, which accounted for less
than 30 per cent of the gross fiscal deficit of the
states in the early 1990s, rose to 60 per cent by the
end of the decade. This implies that nearly two-thirds
of the debt incurred by the states is now being used to
finance current expenditure.
As mentioned earlier, in an ostensibly cooperative
effort between the centre and the states to resolve this
problem, the high-powered committee on state finances,
chaired by Finance Minister Jaswant Singh, is mooting a
debt-swap mechanism, involving the replacement of high
with low cost debt, as a solution. This together with
the move to replace sales tax with VAT at the state
level is being viewed with suspicion by the states.
The grounds for suspicion are strong, given the evidence
that the centre is seeking to use the fiscal problems of
the states, which have been partly created by the
former, to force the latter to adopt controversial
neo-liberal policies. In the past this was being done
through means other than conditions attached to what are
constitutionally warranted statutory transfers of
resources to the states. One such means was was to use
the mechanism of non-statutory transfers to the states,
principally through the Planning Commission, to force
unpopular policies on the states. The other was to
encourage state governments to approach agencies like
the Asian Development Bank and the World Bank for
project funding, in return for which they demand a
restructuring of finances by the states. This was what
has happened in cases like Orissa and Andhra Pradesh and
is currently underway in Kerala. It also was a reason
for controversy in the state of West Bengal.
But starting with the Eleventh Finance Commission, the
effort to force the states into accepting neo-liberal
reform policies has involved making suitable additions
to the original mandate for such Commissions laid down
in the constitution. Thus, the Presidential Order of
April 28, 2000, had asked the Eleventh Finance
Commission ``to draw a monitorable fiscal reforms
programme aimed at reduction of revenue deficit of the
States and recommend the manner in which the grants to
States to cover the assessed deficit on their non-Plan
revenue account may be linked to progress in
implementing the programme.''
Thus the Eleventh Commission was asked to include the
formulation of a fiscal reform programme in its terms of
reference. By doing so the Centre was not merely seeking
to give a particular kind of "fiscal reform"
constitutional validity, but asking the commission to
give the centre the right to use provision of assistance
to cover non-Plan revenue deficitis as an instrument to
enforce compliance with such a reform programme. Not
surprisingly, many states, led by the Government of
Kerala had expressed strong reservations about the
addition terms of reference.
Now the Centre has gone even further. To start with, the
TFC has once again been asked to suggest a plan to
restructure public finances to restore budgetary balance
and macro economic stability and reduce the debt burden.
In addition, as stated earlier it has been required to
provide weightage to a state's willingness to implement
"reform" policies such as raising user charges,
privatise and reduce the tax-GDP ratio when determining
its access to a constitutionally guaranteed share in
resources. Further, to ensure that this effort at
strapping the states into the reform process would be
successful, this time around the government has decided
to give the Planning Commission a role in influencing
the devolution formula and the conditionalities to be
associated with the provision of a share to the states
in central resources. Clearly Planning Commission member
Sompal is an "ex-officio" nominee to the Finance
Commission, and is likely to ensure this role for the
body which hitherto could only use non-statutory
transfers as a means of pushing the central agenda at
the state level.
This attempt to use the Finance Commission to push
through what is the real thrust of the so-called
"second-generation" of reforms, namely, the enforced
adoption of reform polices in a host of areas which fall
within the jurisdiction of the states and not the
centre, is clearly a violation of the conbstituional
mandate in this regard. Article 280 Clause (1) of the
Constitution of India provides for a statutory Finance
Commission, being set up every five years, to recommend
the rules that should govern the devolution of funds
from Centre to the states and their distribution among
the states. The choice of a five year life-span for the
recommendations of any single Commission implies that
those who framed the Constitution wanted changes in the
economic structure that occur with development to be
taken account of when formulating devolution rules.
However, using the Finance Commission, which is a
constitutional instrument, as an agency to push through
a highly controversial change in the economic policy
regime is clearly a breach of its constitutional
obligation by the Centre. Using the Planning Commission,
which is an administrative body, to implement this
subversion of the work of a constitutional institution
such as the Finance Commission is an even greater
violation. It is imperative that the states challenge
the Centre's manoeuvres in this regard, so as to protect
the freedom provided by the Constitution to frame their
own policies in areas identified as being within their
jurisdiction.
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