These
are bad times for corporate honchos, globally and in India. Quite apart
from the financial crisis and the associated credit crunch, the end
of the boom is exposing many weaknesses that could earlier be effectively
covered up by the rapid expansion of output and profits. The humongous
scam of Satyam Computers is of course the most dramatic example of this.
But it may mark a more general change in social attitudes towards big
business.
As the euphoria around growth dissipates, the public is becoming more
conscious of the possibilities that all corporate behaviour may not
be squeaky clean, and that all industrialists may not have been the
saviours of the country that our slavish media generally presented them
to be. So a period of more questioning and even sceptical attitudes
towards big businessmen is only to be expected.
It is also likely that this will make the businessmen themselves more
insecure and cause them to search anxiously for crutches, both economic
and political. In any case, corporate behaviour in India has always
been marked by a contradictory attitude towards the state – demanding
complete independence and freedom from all controls when it suits them,
and equally insistent upon protection, subsidies and state support when
the going gets even marginally tough.
It is not an accident, therefore, that even in Britain, the first large
company to demand a government handout in the ongoing slump was an Indian-owned
company: Jaguar Motors, which was purchased by the Tata Group last year
in an extraordinary act of hubris. In India, too, the demands for state
support in the current slowdown from industry lobbies have been rapid
and importunate, much like spoilt children who come running to Mummy
when playground activities do not go in their favour.
With the sudden loss of confidence among corporate leaders has also
come a yearning for a strong government that will work for them. In
an increasingly uncertain world, they long for certainty, especially
for the knowledge that they will be politically protected and that the
rest of society will be disciplined to ensure their own profits. So
they turn desperately to leaders who they think can deliver this. This
may be the social psychology behind the extraordinary scenes that were
witnessed last week, as top Indian industrialists vied with each other
to lavish praise on the Chief Minister of Gujarat, Narendra Modi.
It is by now obvious that Mr. Modi generates strong emotions, and that
many of the emotions he generates are not all that positive. It is also
well known that large capitalists tend to prefer strong leaders who
do not brook opposition and can impose their will upon others, especially
when their will is ''business-friendly''. And of course, business is
''apolitical'' to the extent that it is only interested in its own profitability
and will go along with any politics that supports it.
Even so, it was startling to see the degree of sycophancy and even rather
pathetic dependence upon this political leader, which was openly being
displayed by grown men who should know better. The various business
leaders who had gathered for a special two-day summit to attract private
investment in Gujarat provided paeans to Mr. Modi's charisma, his leadership
qualities, his generosity (to business, of course), his farsightedness,
his eminent eligibility to be Prime Minister, and much more.
What is wrong with such an assessment, or with such open declarations
of not just admiration but almost slavish adoration? Surely corporate
leaders, like all the rest of us, are entitled to their own opinions
and are free to express them. So why should we comment at all on this
chorus of praise for Mr. Modi?
One reason is because this assessment reflects so poorly on the judgement
of these large industrialists, who have been so feted by media and society
generally as sources of pride for the country. This feeling of lack
of judgement need not reflect any political biases. Let us therefore
exclude the political track record of Mr. Modi: his presiding over one
of the most appalling communal pogroms in recent Indian history during
the post-Godhra riots; his implicit encouragement of intolerant anti-minority
consciousness among citizens in his state; his undemocratic attitude
towards dissent in any form and ruthlessness in dealing with it; his
encouragement of a proto-authoritarian personality cult. Let us consider
only that part of his record which the industrialists have found to
be so laudable: his government's ''achievements'' in economic and social
indicators.
Gujarat under Mr. Modi's rule is being celebrated for having achieved
rapid rates of growth and industrialisation, which therefore ought to
have translated into better conditions for its people. It turns out
that this record is actually much more dismal than has been projected.
High growth has been accompanied by increasing inequality, so that the
benefits of the growth have not percolated to the people as propagated
by the ''trickle-down'' hypothesis.
According to the National Sample Survey, between 1999-2000 and 2004-05,
real per capita consumption in the rural areas of the state hardly improved,
and for the bottom half of the population did not improve at all. Employment
growth has also been low, especially in rural areas, relative to output
growth.
The National Family Health Surveys provide even more depressing news
about basic health and nutrition indicators in the state. In 2005-06,
child malnutrition, as expressed in very low weight-for-age, was as
high as 47 per cent in Gujarat, higher than the all-India average. 80
per cent of children under 4 years of age were found to be anaemic.
Nearly half the children between 12-23 months were still not fully immunised:
45 per cent of urban children and 60 per cent of rural children. More
than 60 per cent of pregnant women were anaemic, and in rural areas
60 per cent of child deliveries were not in institutional conditions.
What is more startling is that several of these indicators were not
only worse in Gujarat than for India as a whole, but had even deteriorated
in Gujarat since the late 1990s! All these depressing conditions have
therefore persisted or got aggravated under Mr. Modi's watch. And so
the shining growth story has also been at the very least a major failure
of socio-economic management, since it has clearly failed to deliver
in terms of improving the basic conditions of life of ordinary people.
This is a sad comment on Mr. Modi's capacity to govern in the interests
of the people.
Obviously, the Tatas, Ambanis, Mittals and other corporate players who
gathered in Ahmedabad last week either had not cared to find out any
of this, or else simply could not be bothered even if they did know.
In terms of self-interest, they were probably right: the one group that
Mr. Modi has made sure he delivers to, is precisely big business. It
has benefited hugely from the Gujarat government's offers of subsidised
or free land, a slew of tax incentives, assistance in disciplining workers
and many other favours.
No wonder, then, that they saw fit to shower praise on him for being
good to them. The alarming thing is that they also appeared to think
that he was therefore good for citizens in general, and even for the
country as a whole. Unfortunately for them, such blatant lack of judgement
will only make it even harder for the rest of society to trust what
these business leaders say in future.