A news report on
page 13 of The Hindu newspaper of January 22 quotes the Vishwa Hindu
Parishad leader, Pravin Togadia, who was speaking at a press conference
in Kolkata, as follows: "Time has come to reject Gandhi (Mahatma) and
Karl Marx. Gandhi had preached non-violence when Hindu men and women
were butchered by the minority Muslims and the followers of Marx have
turned out to be appeasers of minorities."
It is interesting to note that these comments were made the day after
the NDA government, in yet another egregious display of its apparent
nationalism, had made it a punishable crime to insult the national flag.
Clearly, insulting the Father of the Nation carries no such stigma for
the government, since Mr. Togadia has not even been censored for his
remarks.
Nor was there any recognition that such comments could offend the
sentiments of many Indian citizens, perhaps in a more extreme way than
the sentiments of Hindu are supposedly offended by all sorts of inocuous
things. Instead, Mr. Togadia, and the political party that he supports,
probably view such declarations not as a source of embarrassment, but
rather as a way of winning more votes from the general public. Indeed,
Mr. Togadia indicated as much in the same press conference, when he went
on to argue that he foresaw "a Hindu backlash" in the country as
indicated in the Gujarat elections.
Of course, this may be wishful thinking, but there is a real chance that
Mr. Togadia and his ilk are far too "optimistic" in this respect. There
are already indications even in Gujarat that the frenzy or fear that
were whipped up by the BJP and its Sangh Parivar partners before the
elections, are being replaced by much more mundane and pressing concerns
of ordinary people: the poor state of infrastructure, the higher rates
for basic utilities, and the lack of productive employment
opportunities.
Elsewhere in India, the Hindu right may actually be misreading the mood
of the electorate. If state governments are voted out of power, the
causes of voter dissatisfaction are much more likely to be inadequate
performance of the incumbent government in material terms, rather than
some revival of Hindu sentiment which has been emboldened by the
aggressive Gujarat campaign.
In fact, it is difficult to keep fuelling blatantly divisive and
communalist sentiments among people without new events to stoke the
fire. If we assume that the Hindu right will not be cynical enough to
spark off such incidents in order to ensure that communal sentiments
remain dominant, then the likelihood is that these concerns will be
replaced by those that directly affect the everyday lives of people.
Recent experience from other parts of the world actually reinforces such
an assessment. Only last year, there was a wave of victories for the
extreme right wing in elections in different parts of Europe. But these
victories, and the popular basis for support for the right wing parties,
have proved to be relatively short-lived. In the Netherlands, for
example, in 2002 a new party emerged from nowhere on an openly racist
and anti-immigration platform, led by a former sociology professor, who
was then murdered a few days before the election.
The List Pim Fortuyn, the party named after him, caused a major upset in
the polls, became the second largest party overtaking the Labour Party,
and formed part of the coalition government. Within a few months,
however, the infighting and political chaos that resulted caused the
collapse of the government and led the country into another election.
It now appears that in this recent election, the List Pim Fortuyn has
been completely wiped out. The Labour Party appears to have made large
gains, and the Socialist Party, a small party that had remained
committed to real economic issues such as privatisation, health care and
education, has improved its position significantly.
Elsewhere, also, the initial gains made by the right wing have been
eroded. The far right party that briefly formed part of the Austrian
government has also been torn by infighting and has lost most of its
support among voters.
Associated with this is another process that seems under way across the
world, which gives some signs for hope. It is the emergence of new
leaders of the left and center-left in several different countries
across the continents, who seem to be capable of reviving support among
the electorate, and even winning elections.
In the Netherlands, the fortunes of the Labour Party were assisted by
its new leader, the young Wouter Bos, whose statements have become more
and more left-leaning on basic issues. In Italy, a new leader appears to
be emerging for the Left in the person of Sergio Cofferati, who is a
well known trade unionist, and commands growing popularity not only for
his consistent opposition to Berlusconi, but also because of his openly
expressed views against globalisation and against a war on Iraq.
In Latin America, such a process is even more advanced and promising.
The huge victory of Lula, the charismatic working class leader who is
head of the Workers’ Party and now President of Brazil, has been one
aspect of this. In Ecuador, the newly elected President Lucio Gutierrez,
was the son of a peddler and identifies with the poor of his country. He
has been a champion of the socio-economic rights of the common citizens,
especially the Andean Indians who have been so neglected and oppressed
by the governments thus far.
These left revivals, and the fairly rapid demise of rightwing forces in
these countries, do have one important lesson for the Indian scene. The
effective counter to the right cannot come from those who espouse a
watered down version of the right’s positions. There has to be a genuine
alternative in terms of economic and social strategies and policies that
affect the common people. This means that any real and powerful
opposition to the right wing has to be closely associated with a much
stronger left democratic agenda.
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