At
first sight no two persons could have been more dissimilar. One was
a Cambridge don, with more than one foot in the British government;
a supporter of the Liberal Party, staunchly opposed to the Bolshevik
Revolution; an aesthete and a member of the Bloomsbury Group; a life
peer in imperial Britain; and a solid, if sensitive, member of the
British establishment. The other was a Russian revolutionary, spending
years in exile in acute penury, immersed in bitter conflicts among
the emigres, until suddenly confronted with a revolutionary uprising
whose strivings and possibilities he comprehended with such clarity
that he came to lead it, facing a civil war, a typhus epidemic, and
an assassination attempt that ultimately claimed his life. The secure
tranquility of the life of the one contrasted sharply with the tempestuous
violence that continuously haunted the life of the other. What could
these two have in common?
For a start each felt a deep intellectual respect for the other, despite
their political differences. In his report to the Second Congress
of the Communist International, having called Keynes “a British bourgeois
pacifist”, “a petit bourgeois philistine”, and “an implacable enemy
of Bolshevism”, Lenin went on to base his entire thesis about why
conditions were ripe for a world revolution on Keynes’ analysis in
The Economic Consequences of the Peace. He even paid Keynes the compliment
that “nobody had written about the condition of capitalism better
than Keynes”. Keynes on his part not only referred in several places
to Lenin’s “brilliance”, but, in this same book, said apropos of inflation:
“Lenin is said to have declared that the best way to destroy the capitalist
system is to debauch the currency; ..Lenin was certainly right.”
But mutual intellectual respect among bitter adversaries is neither
unusual nor particularly remarkable. What is really common to both
these thinkers is their belief that the hegemony of finance in the
period of maturity of capitalism had brought about a denouement where
it became impossible for the system to go on as before. Of course
each had his own understanding of why finance had made capitalism
impossible, and each had his own reading of where to go from there.
But the belief that a sheer continuity of the existing order was no
longer possible was common to both.
Keynes saw the hegemony of finance as saddling capitalism with such
extraordinarily high levels of unemployment that people, he feared,
would not for long tolerate such an inhumane system. Under this hegemony,
speculation was no longer a mere bubble on a steady stream of enterprise,
but became a torrent that buffeted enterprise around. This became
particularly so after the prop that had sustained nineteenth century
capitalism, namely the pushing of the frontier, had reached its limits.
Not only did employment get determined largely by the whims and caprices
of speculators, but in the absence of this prop would remain much
higher than before, of which the Great Depression was a manifestation.
He wanted the system to become more humane in order to survive the
challenge of socialism. And this it could do by ensuring, through
systematic State intervention in demand management, that the level
of employment was made independent of the whims and caprices of financial
speculators.
Lenin by contrast saw finance capital as striving everywhere for domination
and for the acquisition of “economic territory” at the expense of
rivals. Hence the rivalry between different “national” finance capitals
(belonging to big “nations”), each backed by “its” State, would henceforth
take the form of bloody inter-imperialist wars, of which the first
world war was a manifestation. Escape from this predicament was possible
only by overthrowing the entire system of finance-dominated capitalism
and by ushering in socialism.
The turn of events was such that the ideas of both these thinkers
were tried out in practice, a fate denied to most and another element
that is common to both. Keynes’ proposal for State intervention in
demand management in capitalist economies had few takers in the beginning,
a fact that allowed the Great Depression to persist outside of the
fascist countries right until the eve of the war when military preparations
against the threat of fascism finally pulled up levels of employment
and activity. But in the post-war period, with the balance of class
strength shifting in favour of the working class across the advanced
capitalist world, of which the emergence of social democracy was a
manifestation, State intervention in demand management got institutionalized,
producing the so-called “Golden Age of capitalism”. And as regards
Lenin, the response generated by his call for the overthrow of capitalism,
the Bolshevik Revolution and the formation of the Communist International,
the struggle of the Soviet Union against fascism, its contribution
to post-war decolonization and the spread of socialism, constitute
together the epic saga of the twentieth century.
But, again by an irony that unites both these thinkers, the historical
experiments unleashed by them, despite remarkable early promise, could
not reach successful fruition. The process of globalization of finance
made the nation-State that was supposed to override the whims and
caprices of finance, subservient precisely to these very whims and
caprices for fear of capital flight; as a result we have the current
bizarre spectacle of capitalist countries enacting one after another
“austerity measures” in the midst of a recession, which will only
accentuate the recession. Keynes would be turning in his grave at
this absurd course of events. Likewise the Soviet Union founded under
Lenin’s leadership no longer exists; Communist Parties, barring a
few, have dwindled into insignificance; the socialist credentials
of China and Vietnam are barely visible and have to be established
by the committed few through elaborate theoretical and statistical
exercises; and a question mark hovers over the fate of Cuba, buffeted
by imperialism. Those who invoke either Keynes or Lenin today are
few and far between.
Does this mean then that the projects of both Keynes and Lenin are
equally passé? The answer is no, and this constitutes the big
contrast between the two. Because Lenin’s project was grand, nothing
short of bringing about a wholly new world order, the like of which
mankind had only dreamt of but never seen, and that too against the
bitterest possible opposition from the propertied classes, he was
acutely aware of the prospects of the failure of his particular experiment.
In fact after Soviet power had lasted three months, he had remarked
gleefully: “we have lasted longer than the Paris Commune!” Because
of the grandeur of his project the possibility of the failure of his
particular experiment t was anticipated by Lenin. But not so with
Keynes.
Since his objective was to defend the system of private property against
socialism, he not only expected no systematic opposition from the
propertied classes, but even attributed whatever opposition he actually
encountered from them to mere intellectual failure on their part.
After all, if demand management by the State increased the level of
activity and employment in the economy, then that would benefit both
the workers (through larger employment) and the capitalists (through
larger profits). So the predicament of late capitalism was one from
which, if one had the correct intellectual comprehension, one could
improve everybody’s condition. What Keynes did not see is that State
intervention in capitalism is something which sets off a dialectic
of its own that ultimately subverts the domination of capital over
labour. Not that Great Depression-levels of mass unemployment are
necessary for capitalism but the elimination of such levels of mass
unemployment through State intervention undermines the social legitimacy
of the system. The setback to Lenin’s project would not have surprised
Lenin; the setback to Keynes’ would have surprised Keynes. Lenin’s
project will be revived, but not Keynes’, except as a staging post
in the march towards Lenin’s goal.
(This
article was originally published in The Monthly Review : April 23,
2011)